TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Target Streams: 11,151,852
- Kalshi
Target Streams: 11,151,852 - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Jul 4, 2026
Closed: Jul 4, 2:32 AM EST
Kalshi
Description
This market tracks whether the album Mr. Morale & The Big Steppers achieves streaming performance above a specific threshold during the June 26 - July 02 tracking week. Worldwide streaming data from all major platforms is aggregated to determine the outcome, with results typically published within 48 hours after the tracking period ends.
Kalshi
If Mr. Morale & The Big Steppers has above 11,151,852 Worldwide Streams during the June 26 - July 02, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes.
Frequently asked questions
Prediction market odds reflect real-money bets from traders who face direct financial consequences for accuracy, often diverging meaningfully from traditional analyst forecasts. While music industry analysts may rely on label statements, release schedules, or historical patterns, this market aggregates distributed knowledge from participants with skin in the game. The odds here tend to update faster than formal analyst reports when new information emerges, making them a complementary signal to traditional media coverage and expert commentary on streaming releases.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing yes or no outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current odds reflect the balance between buyers and sellers; as new information surfaces or sentiment shifts, the price adjusts in real time. Each share costs between $0 and $1, with payouts tied directly to the final outcome, ensuring traders' financial incentives remain aligned with accurate prediction.
This market resolves around Jul 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution hinges on whether the album streams across major platforms by the deadline specified in the market terms. Once the outcome is determined and verified, all shares are settled according to the final result, and traders receive their payouts or losses.
Official announcements from the artist, label, or streaming platforms would be the most direct catalyst for this market. Chart debuts, social media updates, or industry news coverage about release timing could shift trader sentiment rapidly. Unexpected delays, label disputes, or surprise early drops would also trigger sharp repricing. Additionally, broader streaming trends or competitive releases during the same window might influence how traders assess the likelihood of this specific album reaching platforms on schedule.
