TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 1:45 PM EST
Kalshi
Two professional League of Legends teams, Movistar KOI and Team Vitality, will compete in a high-stakes match on September 12, 2026. The outcome hinges on which team secures victory on the third map of their best-of-five series, determining the immediate momentum and potentially the overall match result.
If Movistar KOI wins map 3 in the LEC 2026: Movistar KOI vs. Team Vitality League of Legends match originally scheduled for Sep 12, 2026 at 11:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Team Vitality wins map 3 in the LEC 2026: Movistar KOI vs. Team Vitality League of Legends match originally scheduled for Sep 12, 2026 at 11:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set initial lines to balance betting action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, risk assessments, and the influence of public sentiment. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information becomes available or as the event draws closer.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of Movistar KOI winning map 3. The price of a contract directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome. As more traders buy contracts, the price increases, reflecting a higher perceived chance of success. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading activity indicate the level of confidence traders have in each possible result, providing a dynamic assessment of the event’s potential outcomes.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of map 3 in the Movistar KOI versus Team Vitality League of Legends match. The winning team will be determined by the game’s official results, and this will be used to settle all outstanding contracts on Kalshi. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand the resolution of this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, team strategies, or unexpected roster changes could shift trader sentiment. In-game performance during earlier matches in the series could also provide valuable insights, leading to adjustments in the perceived probabilities. Furthermore, significant shifts in public opinion or analysis from esports experts could also contribute to price movements, as traders react to new information and reassess their predictions on Kalshi.