TOTAL VOLUME:
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24H VOL:
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OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
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PLATFORM COVERAGE:
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Polymarket:
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Kalshi:
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Closed: Sep 6, 8:30 AM EST
Kalshi
In a high-stakes League of Legends match, Movistar KOI Fénix faces off against Los Heretics on the third map. The outcome will determine which team secures a crucial victory point in this competitive best-of-series.
The market resolves to Yes if Movistar KOI Fénix wins map 3 of the LES 2026 match against Los Heretics scheduled for Sep 6, 2026 at 6:00 AM EDT. If Los Heretics wins map 3 instead, their corresponding market resolves to Yes. If the match or map is postponed beyond 48 hours, cancelled, or forfeited before or during play, the market resolves to the fair market price, with any in-progress forfeits resolved by the official result from the governing body.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by house biases or initial public perception. Sportsbooks may set lines to attract action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of informed traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, analytical approaches, or simply the dynamics of each market. It’s common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook lines as new information becomes available, especially closer to the event date.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more traders believe a particular outcome is likely, the price of its corresponding contract will increase. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading activity provide insights into the level of conviction behind each potential result for this League of Legends match. Traders can set their own prices, creating a dynamic and responsive market.
This market resolves around Sep 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of Map 3 in the Movistar KOI Fénix versus Los Heretics (OLD) League of Legends match. The platform will verify the result against publicly available and trusted sources to ensure accuracy. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their chosen outcome aligned with the verified result of the game.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding player form, team strategies, or unexpected roster changes for either Movistar KOI Fénix or Los Heretics (OLD) could shift trader sentiment. In-game performance during earlier matches in the series, or even broader shifts in the competitive League of Legends meta, could also play a role. Significant betting activity or analysis from prominent esports commentators could also cause the market to react as traders adjust their positions based on new information.