TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 6, 7:40 AM EST
Kalshi
The second map of the League of Legends showdown between Movistar KOI Fénix and Los Heretics will test both teams' strategies and adaptability. A win here could shift the momentum significantly in favor of either team.
The market resolves to Yes if Movistar KOI Fénix wins map 2 of the LES 2026 match against Los Heretics scheduled for Sep 6, 2026 at 6:00 AM EDT. If Los Heretics wins map 2 instead, their corresponding market resolves to Yes. If the match or map is postponed beyond 48 hours, cancelled, or forfeited before or during play, the market resolves to the fair market price, with any in-progress forfeits resolved by the official result from the governing body.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, aiming to profit regardless of the outcome. This market, however, represents the pure collective belief of traders. If a significant number of people believe an outcome is more likely, the price will move in that direction, potentially offering odds that are more favorable than those available at sportsbooks. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying levels of market participation.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing possible outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. Traders are incentivized to set accurate probabilities, as they profit from correctly predicting the event's outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price movements are driven by the collective intelligence of participants, responding to new information and evolving expectations about the match between Movistar KOI Fénix and Los Heretics.
This market resolves around Sep 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the result of Map 2 in the Movistar KOI Fénix versus Los Heretics League of Legends match will determine the winning contract. The outcome will be based on the official game results as reported by the League of Legends esports authorities. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand the resolution of this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 6, 2026. Any news regarding player form, team strategies, or unexpected roster changes for either Movistar KOI Fénix or Los Heretics could shift trader sentiment. In-game performance during other matches, or even commentary from prominent League of Legends analysts, could also play a role. Major upsets in related esports events might also indirectly affect the perceived probabilities, as traders adjust their expectations based on the broader competitive landscape.