TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 19, 5:34 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of the second map in a professional Dota 2 match between MOUZ and Team Yandex. The result depends on which team secures victory in this specific map during the scheduled tournament.
If MOUZ wins map 2 in the PGL Wallachia 2026: MOUZ vs. Team Yandex Dota 2 match originally scheduled for Sep 19, 2026 at 12:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Team Yandex wins map 2 in the PGL Wallachia 2026: MOUZ vs. Team Yandex Dota 2 match originally scheduled for Sep 19, 2026 at 12:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of informed traders, and can differ from sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on individuals directly expressing their beliefs about the probability of each outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, arbitrage opportunities may arise, potentially driving the prices closer together. However, it's common to see differences, especially when new information emerges or public perception shifts, influencing traders’ assessments in this market.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract indicates the market's implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and order book are visible on the platform, allowing traders to analyze supply and demand dynamics and make informed decisions. Price movements are driven by traders’ expectations of the match result.
This market resolves around Sep 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of Map 2 in the MOUZ vs. Team Yandex match. The winning team on that map will determine the winning contract in this market. The platform will verify the result against publicly available and trusted sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or fulfill their obligations based on the final outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, team strategies, or potential roster changes for either MOUZ or Team Yandex could significantly shift trader sentiment. In-game performance during Map 1 of the series will also be a major catalyst, as it provides insight into each team's current form. Unexpected announcements about map bans or vetoes could also cause price fluctuations. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of the relative strengths of the two teams has the potential to move this market.