TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 10, 12:59 PM EST
Kalshi
MOUZ and PARIVISION will compete in a Dota 2 match at the Esports World Cup 2026 on July 10, 2026. The outcome will be determined by which team wins the match or if the match ends in a tie.
This event covers the Dota 2 match between MOUZ and PARIVISION scheduled for July 10, 2026 at 10:00 AM EDT at Esports World Cup 2026. Resolution is based on the official match result: the market resolves to Yes for MOUZ if they win, Yes for PARIVISION if they win, or Yes for Tie if the match ends in a draw. The match outcome as determined by the tournament organizers is the sole basis for resolution.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margins, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders risking real capital on outcomes. This market may show different implied probabilities than traditional sports betting sites, particularly if one venue has sharper or more active trading in esports. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus is strongest or where specialized knowledge might be undervalued.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders submit bids and asks for shares representing each possible outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the collective expectation of traders; as new information surfaces or sentiment shifts, the bid-ask spread adjusts and prices move. You can enter limit or market orders to trade at your preferred price, and the market's depth and liquidity determine how easily you can execute larger positions without slippage.
This market resolves around Jul 10, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verified against credible public sources. The outcome will reflect the official winner as reported by the esports organization, league, or broadcast partner covering the event. Until that point, prices may fluctuate based on team news, roster changes, or other developments that traders believe will influence the final result.
Several catalysts could shift prices in this market before Jul 10, 2026. Roster announcements, player injuries, or lineup changes for either team may alter perceived strength. Recent tournament results, scrim performance, or public statements from coaches and players can sway trader sentiment. Meta shifts in the game itself, patch updates, or map pool changes may also affect competitive balance. Additionally, odds could tighten or widen as the match date approaches and more traders enter the market with refined forecasts.