TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers vs. Siena Saints
kalshi
polymarket

Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers vs. Siena Saints

Volume:
$100,559

Over 119.5 points scored

 - Kalshi

Over 119.5 points scored - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 8, 2026

Closed: Mar 7, 11:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Over 119.5 points scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,672
N/A
N/A
$1,296
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 116.5 points scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,095
N/A
N/A
$953
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -3.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$377
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -2.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$81
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 134.5 points scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$39,154
N/A
N/A
$28,988
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 132.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$452
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 131.5 points scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,403
N/A
N/A
$11,095
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 131.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,042
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers vs. Siena Saints

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,891
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 137.5 points scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,299
N/A
N/A
$10,149
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 133.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,451
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 125.5 points scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,694
N/A
N/A
$4,917
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 122.5 points scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,577
N/A
N/A
$2,634
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 128.5 points scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,032
N/A
N/A
$2,427
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 140.5 points scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,033
N/A
N/A
$682
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 135.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$160
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 146.5 points scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$95
N/A
N/A
$95
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 143.5 points scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$51
N/A
N/A
$51
Settled
No
Total markets: 18

Description

This event group covers a men's college basketball game between Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers and Siena Saints scheduled for March 7, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET. Markets span moneyline (winner), point spread, and over/under total points across Kalshi and Polymarket platforms.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi publishes 11 redundant over/under markets with overlapping thresholds (116.5 to 146.5), while Polymarket offers four distinct O/U markets with wider spacing (131.5, 132.5, 133.5, 135.5). Both platforms agree on moneyline and spread resolution logic, but the proliferation of Kalshi markets creates operational complexity without adding unique settlement value.Hero tip: Treat Kalshi's 11 O/U markets as a single logical outcome set: any final combined score will resolve multiple markets simultaneously. For example, a 135-point total triggers YES on all Kalshi markets with thresholds below 135 (i.e., markets 1, 2, 3, 5, 6, 7, 8, 10, 11) and NO on markets 4 and 9 (143.5 and 146.5). Use Polymarket's four markets as your primary O/U reference for cleaner threshold management. Moneyline and spread markets are safe to trade across both platforms with no adjustment needed.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: 11 separate over/under markets, all tied to the same game. Thresholds: 116.5, 119.5, 122.5, 125.5, 128.5, 131.5, 134.5, 137.5, 140.5, 143.5, 146.5. Each resolves YES if combined score exceeds threshold. Quote: 'If Mount St. Mary's and Siena collectively score over 134.5 total points... then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Four over/under markets with thresholds 131.5, 132.5, 133.5, 135.5. Each resolves Over if combined score meets or exceeds threshold + 1 (e.g., 131.5 O/U resolves Over at 132+). Also includes moneyline (winner) and two spread markets (Siena -3.5 and -2.5). Quote: 'This market will resolve to Over if the Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers and Siena Saints combine to score 132 or more points in this game.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.