TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers vs. Siena Saints
Volume:
$100,559
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a men's college basketball game between Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers and Siena Saints scheduled for March 7, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET. Markets span moneyline (winner), point spread, and over/under total points across Kalshi and Polymarket platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi publishes 11 redundant over/under markets with overlapping thresholds (116.5 to 146.5), while Polymarket offers four distinct O/U markets with wider spacing (131.5, 132.5, 133.5, 135.5). Both platforms agree on moneyline and spread resolution logic, but the proliferation of Kalshi markets creates operational complexity without adding unique settlement value.Hero Tip:
Treat Kalshi's 11 O/U markets as a single logical outcome set: any final combined score will resolve multiple markets simultaneously. For example, a 135-point total triggers YES on all Kalshi markets with thresholds below 135 (i.e., markets 1, 2, 3, 5, 6, 7, 8, 10, 11) and NO on markets 4 and 9 (143.5 and 146.5). Use Polymarket's four markets as your primary O/U reference for cleaner threshold management. Moneyline and spread markets are safe to trade across both platforms with no adjustment needed.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: 11 separate over/under markets, all tied to the same game. Thresholds: 116.5, 119.5, 122.5, 125.5, 128.5, 131.5, 134.5, 137.5, 140.5, 143.5, 146.5. Each resolves YES if combined score exceeds threshold. Quote: 'If Mount St. Mary's and Siena collectively score over 134.5 total points... then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Four over/under markets with thresholds 131.5, 132.5, 133.5, 135.5. Each resolves Over if combined score meets or exceeds threshold + 1 (e.g., 131.5 O/U resolves Over at 132+). Also includes moneyline (winner) and two spread markets (Siena -3.5 and -2.5). Quote: 'This market will resolve to Over if the Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers and Siena Saints combine to score 132 or more points in this game.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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