This event group covers a men's college basketball game between Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers and Rider Broncs scheduled for February 13, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Markets span moneyline (winner), point spread (-4.5, -5.5), and over/under totals (137.5, 138.5, 140.5 points).
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Mount St. Mary's win or Rider win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket moneyline uses standard binary resolution.
Hero Tip:
Avoid trading the Kalshi moneyline until Kalshi clarifies the contract terms. The market as written cannot resolve correctly. Spread and total markets on both platforms are logically sound and consistent.
Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi: Moneyline market states: 'If Mount St. Mary's wins... then Yes' AND 'If Rider wins... then Yes'. This creates a logical impossibility - both outcomes cannot both resolve to Yes in a binary market. No No outcome is defined.
Polymarket: Moneyline market resolves to 'Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers' if Mount St. Mary's wins, or 'Rider Broncs' if Rider wins. Standard binary categorical resolution with mutually exclusive outcomes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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