TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 7:31 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Zaccharie Cado and Niels McDonald in the Mouilleron-le-Captif, France, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 5:10AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Zaccharie Cado' if Zaccharie Cado advances against Niels McDonald. This market will resolve to 'Niels McDonald' if Niels McDonald advances against Zaccharie Cado. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Zaccharie Cado and Niels McDonald in the Mouilleron-le-Captif, France, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 5:10AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Zaccharie Cado' if Zaccharie Cado advances against Niels McDonald. This market will resolve to 'Niels McDonald' if Niels McDonald advances against Zaccharie Cado. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders. If a significant number of people believe an outcome is more likely than a sportsbook suggests, the odds on Polymarket will shift accordingly. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, analytical approaches, or simply varying levels of public attention on the Cado vs McDonald match. It is common to see differences in implied probabilities.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome in the Cado vs McDonald match. As more shares are purchased for a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share represents the probability of that outcome occurring, and traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the event's result. The market dynamically adjusts to new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the Cado vs McDonald match will be determined by the official result declared by the governing body of the sport. The platform will then verify this information against reliable sources to finalize the market and distribute payouts to winning traders. The process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the outcome.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market leading up to Oct 4, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the players’ form or performance in other recent matches could also have a significant impact. Public opinion, as reflected in sports news and analysis, can also play a role, as traders incorporate new information into their predictions for the Cado vs McDonald match.