TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
This market refers to the tennis match between Leonardo Rossi and Yanis Ghazouani Durand in the Mouilleron-le-Captif, France, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 7:20AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Leonardo Rossi' if Leonardo Rossi advances against Yanis Ghazouani Durand. This market will resolve to 'Yanis Ghazouani Durand' if Yanis Ghazouani Durand advances against Leonardo Rossi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Leonardo Rossi and Yanis Ghazouani Durand in the Mouilleron-le-Captif, France, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 7:20AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Leonardo Rossi' if Leonardo Rossi advances against Yanis Ghazouani Durand. This market will resolve to 'Yanis Ghazouani Durand' if Yanis Ghazouani Durand advances against Leonardo Rossi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome, leading to adjustments based on new information and changing sentiment. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially as new developments emerge or public opinion shifts regarding the Rossi vs Ghazouani match. Comparing the two can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Rossi vs Ghazouani match. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price converges towards what the market collectively believes is the true probability. The market's price is determined solely by supply and demand for shares on Polymarket, and is not influenced by external factors or predetermined formulas.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Rossi vs Ghazouani match, as reported by recognized tennis authorities. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to determine which outcome is declared the winner. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 5, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or even broader trends in tennis rankings, could also play a role. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate new information or a change in expectations regarding the Rossi vs Ghazouani match, leading to price adjustments.