TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 6:16 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Justin Boulais and Alexandre Reco in the Mouilleron-le-Captif, France, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Justin Boulais' if Justin Boulais advances against Alexandre Reco. This market will resolve to 'Alexandre Reco' if Alexandre Reco advances against Justin Boulais. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Justin Boulais and Alexandre Reco in the Mouilleron-le-Captif, France, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Justin Boulais' if Justin Boulais advances against Alexandre Reco. This market will resolve to 'Alexandre Reco' if Alexandre Reco advances against Justin Boulais. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven purely by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information access, biases, or simply variations in modeling approaches. It's common to see prediction markets incorporate information more quickly than sportsbooks, especially regarding factors not explicitly captured in standard betting models.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event's potential results. The market depth and trading volume indicate the level of confidence and interest surrounding each possible outcome in the Boulais vs Reco match.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Mouilleron-le-Captif match between Justin Boulais and Alexandre Reco. The platform will rely on publicly available data to determine the winner, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution process. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches, as any changes to the event schedule or official results could impact the market's final outcome.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market leading up to Oct 4, 2026. Any news regarding the players' form, potential injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift the probabilities. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or even weather forecasts for the match location could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants could create short-term price movements, reflecting shifts in confidence or the release of new information. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding the market’s dynamics.