TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 28, 8:38 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Filippo Romano and Ryan Peniston in the Mouilleron-le-Captif, France, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 6:10AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Filippo Romano' if Filippo Romano advances against Ryan Peniston. This market will resolve to 'Ryan Peniston' if Ryan Peniston advances against Filippo Romano. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Filippo Romano and Ryan Peniston in the Mouilleron-le-Captif, France, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 6:10AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Filippo Romano' if Filippo Romano advances against Ryan Peniston. This market will resolve to 'Ryan Peniston' if Ryan Peniston advances against Filippo Romano. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to profit by balancing action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by betting on both venues. However, it’s important to remember that prediction market odds are dynamic and change based on new information and trading activity.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding shares will rise, and vice-versa. This creates a dynamic pricing system driven by supply and demand, allowing the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Filippo Romano vs Ryan Peniston match, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will settle.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather forecasts at the tournament location, or even updates on the players’ recent performance in other matches, could also impact the odds. Furthermore, large-volume trades from informed individuals could also cause noticeable price movements, reflecting new information or strategic positioning ahead of the match.