TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 28, 7:01 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether the tennis match between Clement Tabur and Matteo Martineau in Mouilleron-Le-Captif will be completed. Currently, Polymarket gives a 100.0% probability to “Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Completed Match: Clement Tabur vs Matteo Martineau”. The resolution source for this market is the official ATP Tour website at https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. Keep an eye on the originally scheduled match time of September 28, 2026 at 4:00AM ET, as confirmation of the match proceeding will be a key signal for resolution.
This market refers to the tennis match between Clement Tabur and Matteo Martineau in the Mouilleron-Le-Captif, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Clement Tabur' if Clement Tabur advances against Matteo Martineau. This market will resolve to 'Matteo Martineau' if Matteo Martineau advances against Clement Tabur. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market relies on individuals wagering their own capital. Therefore, differences can emerge due to varying information, biases, or simply differing interpretations of the event. It’s common to see prediction markets react quickly to new information or shifts in public opinion, potentially leading to odds that diverge from those offered by sportsbooks.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price of these shares fluctuates, reflecting the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds are constantly updated based on the collective intelligence of the crowd.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Mouilleron-Le-Captif match between Clement Tabur and Matteo Martineau. Once the official results are available, Polymarket will determine the winning outcome and settle the market accordingly. Traders who held shares in the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those who held shares in losing outcomes will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before resolution. Any news regarding the players’ form, potential injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly impact trading activity. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or even weather forecasts for Mouilleron-Le-Captif could also cause shifts in market sentiment. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants or significant media coverage of the match could trigger price fluctuations as traders react to new information and adjust their positions.