TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 28, 7:07 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Alexandre Reco and Patrick Zahraj in the Mouilleron-le-Captif, France, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alexandre Reco' if Alexandre Reco advances against Patrick Zahraj. This market will resolve to 'Patrick Zahraj' if Patrick Zahraj advances against Alexandre Reco. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alexandre Reco and Patrick Zahraj in the Mouilleron-le-Captif, France, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alexandre Reco' if Alexandre Reco advances against Patrick Zahraj. This market will resolve to 'Patrick Zahraj' if Patrick Zahraj advances against Alexandre Reco. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to express their view, potentially incorporating information not fully captured by bookmakers. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions, access to unique information, or simply variations in risk assessment. It’s common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook odds, especially as new information becomes available leading up to the event.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts as traders exchange positions, reflecting new information and changing sentiment. Higher demand for shares in a particular outcome drives up its price, while increased selling pressure lowers it, ultimately establishing a consensus probability for the Alexandre Reco vs Patrick Zahraj match.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Alexandre Reco vs Patrick Zahraj match, as declared by the governing sporting body. The platform will verify the result against trusted sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will receive a payout equivalent to 1 minus the commission, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several signals could influence this market before Oct 5, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or strategic announcements from either Alexandre Reco or Patrick Zahraj could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in related matches, or even broader trends in the sport, might also impact the odds. Public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analyses, could also play a role, though the market is ultimately driven by traders’ individual assessments of probability. Significant shifts in trading volume could also indicate changing expectations.