TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 13, 3:48 PM EST
Kalshi
This group of markets focuses on predicting the exact final score of the UEFA Europa Conference League match between Motherwell FC and Helsingin JK scheduled for August 13, 2026. The markets cover various possible scorelines, with a fallback option for any score not explicitly listed.
In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game between Motherwell FC and Helsingin JK, scheduled for August 13, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Motherwell FC vs. Helsingin JK match originally scheduled for August 13, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
The event evaluates multiple thresholds for the total goals scored in the Motherwell vs HJK Helsinki Conference League match scheduled for August 13, 2026, considering only goals scored during regulation time (90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties). Each market corresponds to a different goal threshold: over 0.5, over 1.5, over 2.5, over 3.5, over 4.5, and over 5.5 goals. For any given market, if the cumulative goals meet or exceed its specified threshold, it resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All markets are independent, meaning the resolution of one does not affect the others. The rules clarify that Kalshi has no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
On Polymarket, this market reflects crowd-sourced probability estimates shaped by trader activity and liquidity. Traditional sportsbooks may price outcomes using different models that factor in sharp lines, public bias, and commission margins. As a result, implied chances here can diverge noticeably from sportsbook lines, especially when volume is low or a new narrative emerges around team form or injuries.
On Polymarket, traders set prices through open-order book dynamics, while Kalshi may use a different order model or fee structure. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. These design choices affect how quickly probabilities adjust and how sensitive they are to large trades. When one platform has deeper volume, its odds often appear more stable, whereas thinner markets can swing on smaller updates.
Injuries, weather warnings, or tactical announcements from either coaching staff can shift expectations and move this market. Key moments like recent form, head-to-head history, or even early-game incidents once the match starts often cause rapid re-pricing. Traders will also react to any shift in betting volume or public sentiment in the days leading up to kickoff.