TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 15, 4:30 PM EST
Kalshi
This group forecasts the exact final score of a Scottish Premiership soccer match between Motherwell FC and Aberdeen FC. The markets specify resolution based on the score after 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts.
In the upcoming Scottish Premiership game between Motherwell FC and Aberdeen FC, scheduled for August 22, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Motherwell FC vs. Aberdeen FC match originally scheduled for August 22, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
The event evaluates multiple thresholds for total goals scored in the Motherwell vs Aberdeen Scottish Premiership match scheduled for September 15, 2026. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the combined goals exceed a specified threshold—ranging from more than 0.5 to more than 5.5 goals—within the 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. All markets share the same resolution criteria structure, differing only in the goal count threshold. The governing rules emphasize that Kalshi has no official affiliation with the league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on models and proprietary information, while prediction markets are driven by real money at stake, incentivizing participants to be as accurate as possible. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment differs from expert analysis. It’s common to see prediction markets react more quickly to new information and potentially offer more accurate probabilities, though sportsbooks often provide more competitive pricing due to lower overhead.
Prices for this market on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base, trading fees, and liquidity, which can influence price discovery. Furthermore, differing interpretations of available information about team form, injuries, and tactical approaches can lead to varied predictions. While both platforms aim to reflect the true probability of each outcome, the specific dynamics of each exchange contribute to these price discrepancies. The current volume of $26,920 indicates relatively low trading activity, potentially exacerbating these differences.
Several events could significantly impact this market before it resolves. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Motherwell FC or Aberdeen FC would likely cause shifts in probabilities. Tactical announcements from either manager, such as confirmed starting lineups or changes in formation, could also influence trading activity. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even significant pre-match commentary from football analysts, could also move the market. A surge in volume, reaching $26,920, would also indicate increased interest and potential price volatility.