TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$129,159,707
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,442,132,418
404,744
Markets across
30,489
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,691
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 8, 10:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks viewer interest in predicting which film will attract the most watch time during a specific week. Participants speculate on audience engagement levels rather than traditional box office performance, reflecting viewing habits and preferences in an era where streaming dominates consumption.
Each market resolves based on whether the specified movie ranks #1 on the Luminate Top 50 movies list for total hours watched during the tracking week of July 31 to August 06, 2026. All outcomes share the same resolution date: the Saturday immediately following the tracking week. Luminate Data, LLC serves exclusively as the neutral metrics provider and holds no stake in market results.
Several signals could shift this market before Aug 9, 2026. Major studio announcements — such as surprise cast additions, strong early review leaks, or marketing blitzes — often cause rapid re-pricing. Competing releases scheduled close together may also affect expectations. Weekly viewership reports released mid-period can trigger sharp moves, especially if any film gains an unexpected lead.