TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Monday
- Polymarket
Monday - Polymarket
1W
News
Positive
Negative
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Vol.
·
Resolved Aug 14, 2026
Closed: Aug 14, 11:48 AM EST
Polymarket
Description
Nielsen updates its Linear TV Top 10 Cable Chart on Thursdays, reflecting U.S. TV viewership data from the previous week (Monday-Sunday). This market will resolve according to the day of the week on which the episode of Jesse Watters Primetime with the highest number of U.S. viewers (Persons 2+ average total viewers, P2+) aired during the Week of August 3 - August 9, as reported on the Linear TV Top 10 Cable Chart. This market will resolve based on the first official estimate reported by Nielsen. Any later revisions or retractions will have no bearing on resolution. If Nielsen reports an entry for Jesse Watters Primetime without specifying the day of the week on which it aired, that entry will be treated as having aired on Monday. If the specified show does not appear on the final chart for the specified week, this market will resolve to "Monday". If two or more episodes of Jesse Watters Primetime are reported with the same number of viewers, and that figure is the highest reported for the specified week, this market will resolve to the earliest of those days within the Monday-Sunday week. If the data for the specified week is entirely unreleased by 11:59 PM ET on the second Thursday following the specified week, this market will resolve to "Monday". If the data for the specified week remains partially published (i.e. excluding certain days of the week) by that time, this market will resolve based on the viewership data available at that point. This market will resolve according to Nielsen’s P2+ viewership statistic for the specified week, as reported on the Linear TV Top 10 Cable Chart, regardless of any future changes in methodology. The resolution source for this market will be information from Nielsen, specifically their P2+ viewership statistic as reported on the Linear TV Top 10 Cable Chart (see: https://www.nielsen.com/data-center/top-ten/#television).
Polymarket
Nielsen updates its Linear TV Top 10 Cable Chart on Thursdays, reflecting U.S. TV viewership data from the previous week (Monday-Sunday). This market will resolve according to the day of the week on which the episode of Jesse Watters Primetime with the highest number of U.S. viewers (Persons 2+ average total viewers, P2+) aired during the Week of August 3 - August 9, as reported on the Linear TV Top 10 Cable Chart. This market will resolve based on the first official estimate reported by Nielsen. Any later revisions or retractions will have no bearing on resolution. If Nielsen reports an entry for Jesse Watters Primetime without specifying the day of the week on which it aired, that entry will be treated as having aired on Monday. If the specified show does not appear on the final chart for the specified week, this market will resolve to "Monday". If two or more episodes of Jesse Watters Primetime are reported with the same number of viewers, and that figure is the highest reported for the specified week, this market will resolve to the earliest of those days within the Monday-Sunday week. If the data for the specified week is entirely unreleased by 11:59 PM ET on the second Thursday following the specified week, this market will resolve to "Monday". If the data for the specified week remains partially published (i.e. excluding certain days of the week) by that time, this market will resolve based on the viewership data available at that point. This market will resolve according to Nielsen’s P2+ viewership statistic for the specified week, as reported on the Linear TV Top 10 Cable Chart, regardless of any future changes in methodology. The resolution source for this market will be information from Nielsen, specifically their P2+ viewership statistic as reported on the Linear TV Top 10 Cable Chart (see: https://www.nielsen.com/data-center/top-ten/#television).
Frequently asked questions
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, traders actively set prices through buying and selling shares tied to each possible outcome. The current odds reflect collective expectations about which day will attract the most viewers during the specified week. Price fluctuations happen continuously as new data emerges, such as midweek ratings reports or social media buzz around specific episodes.
This market resolves around Sep 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once viewership numbers for the week of August 3–9 are finalized and verifiable from credible public reporting. The day with the highest confirmed viewership total will settle the market, closing all positions based on the officially recorded data.
Key signals include weekly Nielsen ratings releases, social media engagement spikes around particular episodes, and any last-minute schedule changes or high-profile guest announcements on Polymarket. Unexpected events—such as competing entertainment premieres or major news events that affect viewership habits—could also shift probabilities, moving this market sharply as traders adjust their positions.
