TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 24, 8:44 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether selected Moroccan and Haitian players record either a goal or an assist during the Morocco vs Haiti FIFA World Cup match on June 24, 2026. The match includes regulation time, stoppage time, and any extra time periods.
Each market resolves based on whether the specified player records at least one goal or one assist during the entire Morocco vs Haiti professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for June 24, 2026, encompassing regulation time, stoppage time, and any extra time periods. Players who are active but do not enter the game result in settlement at the last fair market price before game start. Once a player enters the game, settlement is determined by their recorded goals and assists.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different pricing mechanisms and risk models. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and manage liability, while this market is priced by traders responding to real-time information and their own forecasts. Prediction markets typically incorporate a broader range of participant views and can react faster to breaking news, whereas sportsbooks may lag or apply wider margins. Comparing the two can reveal where professional traders and casual bettors disagree on match outcomes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different goal or assist outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each contract reflects the collective belief about its probability, ranging from near-zero to near-100. As traders place bids and asks, the spread tightens or widens based on liquidity and conviction. Prices update in real time, allowing participants to enter or exit positions at any point before the market closes.
This market resolves around Jun 25, 2026, once the Morocco vs Haiti match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome is determined by whether the specified player scores a goal or records an assist during regulation and any extra time played. Once the event is confirmed, the market settles according to the final official match record, and traders' positions are paid out based on the winning outcome.
Key catalysts for this market include team news such as player injuries, lineup announcements, or tactical changes that affect scoring probability. Pre-match analysis from credible sports journalists and expert predictions can shift trader sentiment. During the match itself, early goals, red cards, or momentum shifts will trigger rapid repricing. Weather conditions, venue factors, and historical head-to-head performance may also influence expectations. Real-time match commentary and live statistics will drive continuous price adjustments as the event unfolds.