TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 25, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in an upcoming soccer match between Morocco and Gabon. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed specific thresholds. It reflects the competitive nature of the game and the potential for high-scoring play.
The event evaluates whether the total goals scored by both teams in the Morocco vs Gabon professional AFCON Qualifiers soccer match, scheduled for September 25, 2026, exceed specified thresholds. The match must be completed within 90 minutes plus any stoppage time; extra time and penalty kicks are excluded from goal counts. Each market corresponds to a different threshold (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals). If the actual number of goals exceeds the threshold for a given market, that market resolves to 'Yes.' The rules clarify that Kalshi is not officially affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, ensuring a profit margin, while Kalshi allows traders to directly assess probabilities. This can lead to discrepancies, with this market potentially offering different implied probabilities for various goal totals compared to traditional sportsbooks. It’s common to see prediction markets, driven by collective intelligence, more accurately forecast event outcomes than traditional odds, though this isn’t always the case.
This market resolves around Sep 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of goals scored in the Morocco vs Gabon match will be the determining factor. The official match result, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct total goal outcome will receive a payout, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Morocco or Gabon would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if adverse conditions are expected, could also impact expectations regarding scoring. Furthermore, any pre-match analysis or commentary from reputable football analysts suggesting a higher or lower likelihood of goals could sway traders' opinions and shift the price of contracts in this market. Unexpected team lineup announcements could also be a catalyst.