TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
How many views will Morgan Wallen have by Sep 30, 2026?
Above 4M
- Kalshi
Above 4M - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 28, 2026
Closed: Sep 27, 8:30 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
The event tracks Morgan Wallen's YouTube view performance on a specific date, allowing participants to speculate on whether his global daily views will surpass various thresholds. Outcomes depend on actual view counts reported through YouTube's official charts. The markets operate independently of any endorsement or affiliation with YouTube.
Kalshi
All markets resolve based on Morgan Wallen's global daily YouTube view count on September 26, 2026, measured using data displayed from a New York IP address through YouTube Charts with "Global" location selected. Each market has a unique numerical threshold; if the view count exceeds that threshold, the market resolves to Yes, otherwise No. View counts may vary by location, but all markets consistently use the New York IP address data source for resolution. Neither YouTube nor Kalshi endorses these markets, and any references to YouTube charts are purely descriptive without implying affiliation or endorsement.
Frequently asked questions
Currently, the odds offered by this market represent a collective prediction from a diverse group of traders. These predictions often differ from initial analyst forecasts, as the market incorporates new information and evolving perspectives. While some analysts may predict a certain range of views for Morgan Wallen, this market provides a dynamic, real-time assessment of probabilities based on actual trading activity. It’s common to see the market adjust as new data emerges, potentially exceeding or falling short of pre-event expectations from traditional sources.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning buyers and sellers set the price through their bids and asks. Contracts are valued between 0 and 100, representing the probability of the event occurring. As more traders buy contracts, the price increases, indicating growing confidence in the outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price reflects the aggregated wisdom of the crowd, and changes based on supply and demand, offering a unique perspective on the potential viewership of Morgan Wallen’s content.
This market resolves around Sep 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the total views received by Morgan Wallen on September 26, 2026, are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final market price will reflect whether the actual views exceeded or fell short of the implied prediction within the contracts traded on Kalshi. The resolution will be based on publicly available data and will be determined by the platform’s standard procedures for verifying event outcomes.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Major announcements regarding Morgan Wallen’s content release schedule, promotional campaigns, or collaborations could significantly impact predicted viewership. Unexpected events affecting the entertainment industry or broader media consumption habits could also play a role. Furthermore, any news related to the artist’s public image or potential controversies could shift market sentiment. Positive or negative press coverage, social media trends, and competitor activity are all signals that traders will consider when adjusting their positions in this market.
