TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Above 4M
- Kalshi
Above 4M - Kalshi
1W
News
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Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 26, 2026
Closed: Sep 26, 7:30 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
The event tracks Morgan Wallen's YouTube view performance on a specific date, offering multiple thresholds for global daily views. Each threshold represents a different level of audience engagement, allowing participants to speculate on how widely his content will be consumed that day.
Kalshi
Each market specifies a unique threshold for Morgan Wallen’s global daily YouTube views on September 25, 2026. If the view count exceeds the stated threshold, the respective market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All markets use view counts reported from a New York IP address to ensure consistency. The markets are independent, meaning the outcome of one does not affect the others. YouTube has not endorsed these markets, and references to YouTube charts are for descriptive purposes only, with no affiliation implied.
Frequently asked questions
Currently, it’s difficult to directly compare the predictions embedded in this market to specific analyst forecasts for Morgan Wallen’s views. However, prediction markets often aggregate diverse opinions and can reflect a ‘wisdom of the crowd’ effect, potentially offering a different perspective than individual analyst predictions. If analysts broadly anticipate a certain range of views, we might see corresponding price movements in this market. Discrepancies could arise from differing methodologies, access to information, or biases present in either the market or the analyst community. It's important to consider both sources when forming an informed opinion.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different potential outcomes for the number of views. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices will fluctuate, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and capitalizing on any discrepancies between their beliefs and the market price. The current prices are driven by the collective judgment of those trading on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Sep 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the officially reported number of views for Morgan Wallen’s performance on September 25, 2026. The specific source used for verification will be determined by Kalshi and will be a widely recognized and trusted source for viewership data. Traders should monitor Kalshi for updates on the resolution process and any relevant information regarding the data source used to determine the final outcome of this market.
Several signals or events could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding Morgan Wallen’s upcoming performance, such as announcements about special guests, promotional activities, or media appearances, could influence expectations. Broader trends in music viewership, changes in social media engagement, or even unexpected events affecting public attention could also play a role. Furthermore, the release of any pre-performance polls or predictions from entertainment analysts might prompt traders to reassess their positions. Shifts in public sentiment, measured through social media trends, could also move this market as we approach Sep 29, 2026.
