TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 23, 1:30 AM EST
Kalshi
The event tracks Morgan Wallen's YouTube view performance on a specific date, allowing participants to speculate on whether his global daily views will surpass various thresholds. Outcomes depend on actual view counts reported through YouTube's official charts. The markets operate independently of any endorsement from YouTube.
All markets resolve based on Morgan Wallen's global daily YouTube view count on September 21, 2026, measured using data displayed from a New York IP address through YouTube Charts with "Global" location selected. Each market has a unique numerical threshold; if the view count exceeds that threshold, the market resolves to Yes, otherwise No. View counts may vary by location, and all markets explicitly state that neither YouTube nor Kalshi endorses these products, with any references to YouTube marks being purely descriptive and non-affiliated.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether Morgan Wallen will exceed 6.5M daily views on September 21, 2026. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price will fluctuate, providing a dynamic assessment of the event’s likelihood. The current price indicates the market’s collective expectation.
This market resolves around Sep 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official publicly available view counts for Morgan Wallen’s content on September 21, 2026. The determination will be made by assessing the data from sources generally considered reliable for tracking viewership statistics. The final outcome will be a simple yes/no answer to whether the daily views exceeded the 6.5M threshold.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market. Any major announcements regarding Morgan Wallen’s new music releases or promotional activities would likely impact trading activity. Unexpected controversies or positive publicity surrounding the artist could also shift market sentiment. Changes in the overall popularity of country music or streaming trends could also play a role. Furthermore, any significant shifts in viewership patterns on the platforms where his content is hosted could influence the odds, as traders react to new data and adjust their expectations.