TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Above 5M
- Kalshi
Above 5M - Kalshi
1W
News
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Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 8, 2026
Latest in Entertainment
Closed: Sep 7, 6:19 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks the potential for a popular artist to achieve exceptionally high daily view counts on a global platform during a specific week. It examines whether viewership milestones are met, reflecting audience engagement and content reach during that period.
Kalshi
The event evaluates multiple thresholds of global daily YouTube views for Morgan Wallen between August 31, 2026, and September 6, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific view count threshold, ranging from above 4 million to above 8 million views. If the artist's global daily views exceed any of these thresholds at any point during the specified period, the respective market resolves to Yes. View counts are determined using data from a New York IP address to ensure consistency. All markets operate independently, meaning the resolution of one does not affect the others. The rules clarify that YouTube has not endorsed these markets, and references to YouTube charts are purely descriptive.
Frequently asked questions
On Kalshi, this market uses trader input to set its current odds. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The probability displayed reflects collective trader expectations about Morgan Wallen’s daily viewership reaching certain thresholds during the specified week. Volume of $39,238 shows overall trader interest, while recent 24-hour volume of $13,345 indicates current activity levels. As the event window approaches, early bets can significantly shift the implied odds.
This market resolves around Sep 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public sources. The winning side is determined by the highest single-day view count during the specified period, compared against the market’s defined threshold.
Several factors could influence this market before Sep 10, 2026. Strong promotional campaigns, chart-topping releases, or high-profile performances might boost expected viewership, lifting prices. Conversely, technical issues during streaming events or competition from other major entertainment releases could depress views and lower the market’s implied probability. Real-time social media trends and media coverage in the days leading up to each daily measurement period will also heavily impact trader sentiment.
