TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 5, 11:42 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets evaluate different thresholds of points scored in the first half of a college football game between Morgan St. and Arizona St. Each threshold represents a specific point total that, if exceeded, determines the outcome of that particular market.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams during the first half of the Morgan St. vs Arizona St. college football game scheduled for September 5, 2026. Each market has a unique threshold, ranging from over 2.5 points to over 47.5 points. If the combined first-half score exceeds the specified threshold for a given market, it resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Postponements are permitted if the game starts within 48 hours of the original time, with resolution based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price. Only points scored in the first half count toward these markets.
Prediction market odds often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives and information sources of participants. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while prediction markets aggregate the wisdom of the crowd. This can lead to prediction markets reflecting a more accurate probability assessment, particularly when incorporating information not readily available to sportsbooks. However, sportsbook odds can still provide a useful benchmark for comparison, and discrepancies may present opportunities for arbitrage. It’s common to see this market’s implied probabilities diverge from initial sportsbook offerings as new information emerges.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing the possible outcomes of the Morgan State vs Arizona State 1st half total. The price of a contract reflects the market’s probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of the event's likelihood. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and capitalizing on price discrepancies.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 6, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Morgan State or Arizona State teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect scoring, could also impact the market. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions might shift trader sentiment. Public perception and betting trends from sportsbooks can also indirectly influence the price, as traders react to broader market signals.