TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 5, 3:10 PM EST
Kalshi
Observers will note whether the Charriere vs. Lima bout concludes before the second round, indicating a swift and decisive outcome for either fighter.
If the Morgan Charriere vs. Felipe Lima UFC Fight Night fight originally scheduled for Sep 5, 2026 ends before round 2, then the market resolves to Yes. If the Morgan Charriere vs. Felipe Lima UFC Fight Night fight originally scheduled for Sep 5, 2026 ends before round 3, then the market resolves to Yes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s probability of that outcome occurring; higher prices indicate a greater perceived chance of success. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders can set their own prices, creating a dynamic market that responds to new information and shifts in sentiment. The market’s price adjusts based on supply and demand, ultimately converging towards a consensus view of the event’s likelihood. This is a unique approach compared to fixed-odds betting.
This market resolves around Sep 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Charriere vs Lima fight, specifically whether the fight ends before round 2. The platform will rely on widely accepted sources to determine the winner and confirm the final result. Traders will then be paid out based on their positions in the market, reflecting the accuracy of their predictions. It’s important to monitor reliable sports news sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding the fighters’ condition, such as injuries or changes in training regimens, would likely have a significant impact. Unexpected announcements about the fight’s location or rules could also shift market sentiment. Furthermore, analysis from boxing experts and public opinion, as reflected in polls or social media, can contribute to price movements. Finally, large trades on Kalshi itself can create short-term volatility, particularly if they represent a strong conviction about a specific outcome.