TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 5, 3:10 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on how Morgan Charriere achieves victory over Felipe Lima, whether by knockout, technical knockout, disqualification, submission, or a unanimous decision from the judges.
If Morgan Charriere wins by KO/TKO/DQ during the Morgan Charriere vs Felipe Lima UFC Fight Night fight originally scheduled for Sep 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Morgan Charriere wins by Submission during the Morgan Charriere vs Felipe Lima UFC Fight Night fight originally scheduled for Sep 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Morgan Charriere wins by Decision during the Morgan Charriere vs Felipe Lima UFC Fight Night fight originally scheduled for Sep 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Felipe Lima wins by KO/TKO/DQ during the Morgan Charriere vs Felipe Lima UFC Fight Night fight originally scheduled for Sep 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Felipe Lima wins by Submission during the Morgan Charriere vs Felipe Lima UFC Fight Night fight originally scheduled for Sep 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Felipe Lima wins by Decision during the Morgan Charriere vs Felipe Lima UFC Fight Night fight originally scheduled for Sep 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the Morgan Charriere and Felipe Lima fight ends in a draw or no contest during the Morgan Charriere vs Felipe Lima UFC Fight Night fight originally scheduled for Sep 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome of the Charriere vs Lima fight. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. The market depth—the number of buy and sell orders at different price levels—indicates the level of conviction behind each outcome. Currently, volume is concentrated around certain methods of victory, suggesting strong beliefs among traders.
This market resolves around Sep 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the officially recorded method of victory for the Charriere vs Lima fight. The official result will determine which outcome contract pays out, and the payout amount will reflect the final market price at the time of resolution. Traders should monitor official sources for the fight result to understand when and how this market will settle. The final result will be publicly available following the conclusion of the bout.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before Sep 5, 2026. Any news regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimens, or even pre-fight press conference statements could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected betting patterns in traditional sportsbooks might also attract attention and impact trading volume. Furthermore, analysis from boxing experts and predictions from reputable sources could sway opinions and lead to price fluctuations. A significant shift in public perception regarding either fighter’s chances of winning, especially concerning their preferred method of victory, is likely to move this market.