TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 5, 3:10 PM EST
Kalshi
The method by which the fight ends, regardless of who wins, will be scrutinized to determine if it concludes via knockout, technical knockout, disqualification, submission, decision, or ends in a draw/no contest.
If either competitor wins by KO/TKO/DQ during the Morgan Charriere vs. Felipe Lima UFC Fight Night fight originally scheduled for Sep 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If either competitor wins by Submission during the Morgan Charriere vs. Felipe Lima UFC Fight Night fight originally scheduled for Sep 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If either competitor wins by Decision during the Morgan Charriere vs. Felipe Lima UFC Fight Night fight originally scheduled for Sep 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the result is Draw/No Contest during the Morgan Charriere vs. Felipe Lima UFC Fight Night fight originally scheduled for Sep 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from initial sportsbook lines which can be influenced by factors like public perception or promotional efforts. Sportsbooks may adjust their odds based on betting action, but this market allows traders to independently assess probabilities. While sportsbooks focus on maximizing profit, this market aims for accurate prediction, potentially leading to odds that more closely align with the true likelihood of each outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant betting activity impacts sportsbook lines.
This market resolves around Sep 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the officially recorded method of finish for the Charriere vs. Lima fight, as determined by the relevant boxing authorities. The result will be based on the official ruling, and any disputes or appeals will be considered in determining the final outcome of this market. Traders will be able to see the resolution details on Kalshi once it is finalized.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding the fighters' training, health, or potential injuries would likely cause shifts in the odds. Public statements from the fighters or their teams, or analysis from boxing experts, could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected changes in the fight card or venue could also play a role. Furthermore, significant betting volume on a particular outcome will directly affect its price, potentially signaling a change in perceived probability as we approach Sep 5, 2026.