TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 9, 6:06 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets resolve based on the margin of victory for either Moreirense or SL Benfica in their upcoming match, considering only the regular 90 minutes plus stoppage time, not extra time or penalties.
All markets resolve based on the goal differential in the Moreirense vs SL Benfica professional Liga Portugal soccer game scheduled for Sep 9, 2026. The outcome depends on whether Moreirense wins by a margin exceeding 2.5 or 1.5 goals, or whether SL Benfica wins by a margin exceeding 1.5 or 2.5 goals. All markets consider only goals scored during the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with extra time and penalty shootout goals excluded from the calculation.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If there is a significant difference between the implied probability in this market and sportsbook odds, it could indicate disagreement about the likely result of the Moreirense vs Benfica match or differing levels of information available to each group.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome of the Moreirense vs Benfica match. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price will adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. The current price indicates what percentage of the event outcome is already ‘priced in’ by the market.
This market resolves around Sep 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Moreirense vs Benfica match as reported by a recognized sports data source. The specific details of the match result will determine which outcome in this market is considered the winner, and contracts will be settled accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand the resolution of this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 10, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, or changes in coaching staff for either Moreirense or SL Benfica could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role. Furthermore, major tactical announcements or shifts in public sentiment, as reflected in sports news and analysis, can all contribute to price movements in this market. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential shifts in the perceived probability of each outcome.