TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Moreirense FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Moreirense FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica?

Volume:
$129,234

Sport Lisboa e Benfica

 - Polymarket

Sport Lisboa e Benfica - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 9, 2026

Closed: Sep 9, 7:44 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Sport Lisboa e Benfica

View
100%
18%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$90,380
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Moreirense FC

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$25,098
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Moreirense FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica)

View
0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,603
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Both Teams To Score

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,153
N/A
N/A
$743
Settled
No
Total markets: 4

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a Liga Portugal match between Moreirense FC and Sport Lisboa e Benfica on September 9, 2026. Markets cover which team wins or if the match ends in a draw. A Kalshi market also exists regarding both teams scoring.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: The Polymarket markets focus on the match outcome (win/draw/loss), while the Kalshi market focuses on a specific event within the match (both teams scoring).Hero tip: Consider the differing scopes when trading. A Benfica win doesn't necessarily mean 'both teams score' will resolve 'Yes'.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Markets resolve based on win/draw/loss within 90 minutes + stoppage time. A canceled game resolves to 'No'. "If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No"."
  • Kalshi: Market resolves to 'Yes' if both teams score within 90 minutes + stoppage time. Cancellation scenarios are not addressed. "If Madeira and SL Benfica both score a goal...the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Primeira Liga game, scheduled for Wednesday, September 9, 2026 between Moreirense FC and Sport Lisboa e Benfica.

Kalshi

If Madeira and SL Benfica both score a goal in the Madeira vs SL Benfica Liga Portugal match originally scheduled for Sep 5, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those displayed for this market, often reflect a broader range of information and incentives than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds to maximize profit, factoring in a 'vig' or commission. Prediction markets, however, are driven by participants directly forecasting the outcome, leading to potentially more accurate probabilities. While sportsbooks may quickly adjust to news, prediction markets can incorporate diverse perspectives and subtle signals more efficiently. It’s important to compare both to gain a well-rounded understanding of the potential result of the Moreirense vs. Benfica match.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Differences in pricing between Polymarket and Kalshi for the Moreirense vs. Benfica match can arise from several factors. These platforms have different user bases, trading volumes, and liquidity, which can influence price discovery. Additionally, the specific market structures and fee schedules on each platform can create discrepancies. Market sentiment and the interpretation of available information about team form, injuries, and tactical approaches may also vary between the two venues, leading to divergent probabilities. These factors contribute to the dynamic pricing observed across both platforms.