TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$230,557,910
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,202,344,730
501,342
Markets across
13,602
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,822
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Morehead State Eagles vs. Western Illinois Leathernecks
Volume:
$44,411
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a men's college basketball game between Morehead State Eagles and Western Illinois Leathernecks scheduled for February 21, 2026 at 4:30 PM ET. Markets span moneyline (winner), spread (-8.5), and over/under totals (144.5 and 145.5), with listings on Polymarket and Kalshi.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Morehead State wins OR Western Illinois wins) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket markets are logically consistent but operate on different resolution mechanics than Kalshi.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline until the contradiction is resolved by the platform. Use Polymarket as your primary settlement reference. For all markets, confirm final score including overtime periods on NCAA.com and verify no game cancellation occurred.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to winner name; spread resolves if Morehead State wins by 9+ points, otherwise Western Illinois; totals resolve based on combined score thresholds (146+ for 145.5 O/U, 145+ for 144.5 O/U). All markets remain open if postponed, resolve 50-50 if canceled with no makeup. Key quote: 'The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.'
- Kalshi: Moneyline states 'If Morehead St. wins...then resolves to Yes' AND 'If Western Illinois wins...then resolves to Yes', creating a logical impossibility. The market cannot distinguish between outcomes. Key quote: 'If Morehead St. wins the...game...then the market resolves to Yes. If Western Illinois wins the...game...then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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