TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 4:54 PM EST
Kalshi
This group forecasts the outcome of a soccer match between Montserrat and British Virgin Islands in the CONCACAF Nations League, scheduled for September 26, 2026. Markets exist for Montserrat winning, British Virgin Islands winning, and the game ending in a draw.
This event is for the upcoming Concacaf Nations League game, scheduled for Saturday, September 26, 2026 between Montserrat and British Virgin Islands.
The event resolves based on the result of the Montserrat vs Virgin Islands, British professional Concacaf Nations League soccer match scheduled for September 26, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. If Montserrat wins, the 'Montserrat' market resolves to Yes. If the Virgin Islands, British win, the 'Virgin Islands, British' market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The platform explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds, like those found for this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives and information sources. Sportsbooks primarily aim to set lines that balance betting volume and ensure profit, while prediction markets aggregate the knowledge and insights of a diverse group of traders. This can lead to prediction market prices being more accurate, especially when a significant amount of volume is traded. Furthermore, prediction markets allow participants to take either side of a bet, whereas sportsbooks primarily offer odds on the event's outcome. This market offers a unique perspective on the potential result.
Prices for this market on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has a different user base with varying levels of expertise and information, leading to differing opinions on the likely outcome of the Montserrat vs. British Virgin Islands match. Trading volume also plays a role; higher volume on one platform can indicate stronger conviction and potentially influence prices. Furthermore, the specific mechanisms for price discovery—how traders set odds by buying and selling—may differ slightly between Polymarket and Kalshi, contributing to these price discrepancies.