TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 4:53 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets assess the margin of victory, focusing on whether Montserrat or the British Virgin Islands wins by more than specified goal differences within the standard 90-minute regulation time.
All markets resolve based on the goal differential of the Montserrat vs Br. Virgin Islands professional CONCACAF Nations League soccer game scheduled for Sep 26, 2026, counting only goals scored after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty kicks do not affect any outcome. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with CONCACAF, and all related trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when public opinion strongly favors a particular outcome. Comparing the two can be a useful exercise to identify potential value or areas where the market may be mispricing the probability of a certain result.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders can buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Montserrat vs. British Virgin Islands match. The price of each contract reflects the market's current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly. The goal is to create a market that accurately reflects the true probability of the event happening, as determined by the collective intelligence of the participants.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread in the Montserrat vs. British Virgin Islands match will be the determining factor. Resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing body for this competition. Traders holding contracts on the winning side of the spread will receive a payout, while those on the losing side will forfeit their stake. The exact payout amount will depend on the final price of the contract at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or unexpected weather conditions could shift expectations. Significant shifts in public opinion, perhaps triggered by pre-match analysis or commentary, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, large-volume trades by informed participants could create short-term price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals and staying informed about the Montserrat vs. British Virgin Islands match will be crucial for understanding potential market movements leading up to Sep 27, 2026.