TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 8, 2:23 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Simona Waltert and Rebeka Masarova in the Montreux, originally scheduled for September 7, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Simona Waltert' if Simona Waltert advances against Rebeka Masarova. This market will resolve to 'Rebeka Masarova' if Rebeka Masarova advances against Simona Waltert. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Simona Waltert and Rebeka Masarova in the Montreux, originally scheduled for September 7, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Simona Waltert' if Simona Waltert advances against Rebeka Masarova. This market will resolve to 'Rebeka Masarova' if Rebeka Masarova advances against Simona Waltert. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and incorporate a profit margin, while this market is driven by the collective predictions of traders. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, arbitrage opportunities may arise, encouraging traders to exploit the difference. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither is guaranteed to be perfectly accurate. The efficiency of this market depends on the number of informed participants.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts accordingly, providing a dynamic assessment of the event's potential results. The market's price is determined solely by supply and demand within Polymarket, and is not influenced by external factors or opinions.
This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Waltert vs Masarova match as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders who correctly predicted the result will be paid out according to the final market prices at resolution. It’s important to monitor the official sources as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before Sep 14, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected upsets in other matches leading up to the event could also impact perceptions of player momentum. Furthermore, major shifts in public opinion, reflected in betting patterns or expert analysis, could drive price movements. Monitoring tennis news and following expert predictions will be key to understanding potential catalysts for change in this market.