TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 11, 2:22 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Simona Waltert and Dalma Galfi in the Montreux, originally scheduled for September 11, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Simona Waltert' if Simona Waltert advances against Dalma Galfi. This market will resolve to 'Dalma Galfi' if Dalma Galfi advances against Simona Waltert. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Simona Waltert and Dalma Galfi in the Montreux, originally scheduled for September 11, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Simona Waltert' if Simona Waltert advances against Dalma Galfi. This market will resolve to 'Dalma Galfi' if Dalma Galfi advances against Simona Waltert. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and to balance action, while this market aggregates the views of many individual traders. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, it may indicate that the market believes the sportsbook has mispriced the outcome. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither is guaranteed to be correct. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive view of potential outcomes.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of a particular outcome. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand. As more traders believe Simona Waltert will win, the price of shares representing her victory will increase, and vice versa for Dalma Galfi. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing reflects the collective intelligence of the market participants and their assessment of the available information.
This market resolves around Sep 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Montreux match between Simona Waltert and Dalma Galfi, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the winning shares. Traders holding shares in the correct outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about either player’s preparation or strategy could also move the market. Furthermore, general tennis news and analysis, as well as public opinion, can all play a role in influencing the collective assessment of the likely winner. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential price movements before Sep 18, 2026.