TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 11:05 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Noma Noha Akugue and Guiomar Maristany in the Montreux, originally scheduled for September 12, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Noma Noha Akugue' if Noma Noha Akugue advances against Guiomar Maristany. This market will resolve to 'Guiomar Maristany' if Guiomar Maristany advances against Noma Noha Akugue. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Noma Noha Akugue and Guiomar Maristany in the Montreux, originally scheduled for September 12, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Noma Noha Akugue' if Noma Noha Akugue advances against Guiomar Maristany. This market will resolve to 'Guiomar Maristany' if Guiomar Maristany advances against Noma Noha Akugue. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the same data. It's common to see differences in implied probabilities between this market and those offered by sportsbooks, especially as new information emerges.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Akugue-Maristany match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, directly reflecting the collective probability assigned to each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by new information, shifts in sentiment, and strategic trading activity, creating a dynamic and responsive market for predicting the match's result.
This market resolves around Sep 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Akugue-Maristany match as declared by the governing tennis organization. The platform will verify the result against established sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market leading up to Sep 19, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in preceding matches, analysis from tennis experts, or even public opinion could also play a role. Major upsets or surprising performances in other related tournaments could also indirectly impact the perceived probabilities within this market, leading to price fluctuations and increased trading volume.