TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 8, 10:34 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Guiomar Maristany and Marina Bassols Ribera in the Montreux, originally scheduled for September 7, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Guiomar Maristany' if Guiomar Maristany advances against Marina Bassols Ribera. This market will resolve to 'Marina Bassols Ribera' if Marina Bassols Ribera advances against Guiomar Maristany. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Guiomar Maristany and Marina Bassols Ribera in the Montreux, originally scheduled for September 7, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Guiomar Maristany' if Guiomar Maristany advances against Marina Bassols Ribera. This market will resolve to 'Marina Bassols Ribera' if Marina Bassols Ribera advances against Guiomar Maristany. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, and can sometimes differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and internal analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. If there’s a significant discrepancy, it could indicate that the market believes a sportsbook has mispriced the probability of a particular outcome. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, and can be influenced by various factors, including public perception and breaking news.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people trade, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. The market's price is determined solely by supply and demand; if more traders believe the outcome will happen, the price of shares representing that outcome will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date information available.
This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Montreux match between Guiomar Maristany and Marina Bassols Ribera, as reported by an authoritative source for professional tennis results. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual result of the match, and settle the market accordingly. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the final result.
Several signals could significantly move this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes to playing conditions could influence trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the players’ strategies or coaching changes could also have an impact. Furthermore, general shifts in public opinion, as reflected in other sources like sports news and analysis, can influence trading activity. Major upsets in other related matches could also cause traders to reassess their probabilities, leading to price fluctuations in this market.