TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 9, 10:58 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Andrea Lazaro Garcia and Anastasiia Sobolieva in the Montreux, originally scheduled for September 9, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Andrea Lazaro Garcia' if Andrea Lazaro Garcia advances against Anastasiia Sobolieva. This market will resolve to 'Anastasiia Sobolieva' if Anastasiia Sobolieva advances against Andrea Lazaro Garcia. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Andrea Lazaro Garcia and Anastasiia Sobolieva in the Montreux, originally scheduled for September 9, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Andrea Lazaro Garcia' if Andrea Lazaro Garcia advances against Anastasiia Sobolieva. This market will resolve to 'Anastasiia Sobolieva' if Anastasiia Sobolieva advances against Andrea Lazaro Garcia. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, representing their profit margin. This market, driven by the collective wisdom of traders on Polymarket, aims to represent the true probability of each outcome. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on expert analysis, prediction markets can quickly adjust to new information and reflect the aggregated beliefs of a diverse group of participants. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new developments emerge.
This market resolves around Sep 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Montreux tennis match between Andrea Lazaro Garcia and Anastasiia Sobolieva, as declared by the tournament organizers. The winning player, as officially announced, will determine the winning outcome in this market. Any disputes or challenges to the official result will be considered in the resolution process, but the official tournament outcome will be the primary determinant.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player form, such as injury reports or recent match results, would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions at the tournament location could also affect player performance and, consequently, the market. Unexpected upsets in other matches leading up to this one could also influence trader sentiment. Finally, any significant shifts in public opinion or expert predictions regarding the players' chances of winning could move this market.