TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 16, 9:41 PM EST
Kalshi
A prediction on whether both Montreal and Toronto will each score at least one goal during their MLS match on July 16, 2026. The outcome depends on the final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time added by the referee.
If Montreal and Toronto both score a goal in the Montreal vs Toronto MLS match originally scheduled for Jul 16, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and manage risk, while prediction markets like this one are priced by traders betting real money on outcomes they believe will occur. Prediction markets can sometimes offer sharper, more efficient pricing because traders have direct financial exposure and compete to find mispriced outcomes. However, sportsbooks may occasionally offer better value depending on their current liability position. Comparing both sources helps bettors identify opportunities and validate their own assessment of the matchup.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders submit buy and sell orders at their chosen odds. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price you see reflects the most recent trades and the current spread between bids and asks. As new information emerges—team news, injury reports, or betting patterns—traders adjust their orders, moving the market price up or down. Liquidity and trading volume influence how quickly prices respond to new information and how tight the bid-ask spread remains throughout the event window.
This market resolves around Jul 17, 2026, once the Montreal vs Toronto match concludes and the final result is verifiable. The outcome is determined by whether both teams score at least one goal each during regulation and any applicable extra time. Resolution is confirmed against credible public sources reporting the official match statistics. Traders holding positions will see their contracts settle based on the verified final score, with payouts reflecting whether the both-teams-to-score condition was met.
Several catalysts can shift odds in this market before the match kicks off. Team news—such as injuries to key forwards or defensive players—can significantly alter scoring expectations. Lineup announcements, tactical changes, or manager statements about formation may also influence trader positioning. Recent form, head-to-head scoring trends, and weather conditions on match day can all prompt repricing. As the event date approaches, late-breaking roster updates or betting syndicates taking large positions can create sharp price movements. Monitor sports news and team social media for developments that might reshape the probability of both teams finding the net.