TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 1, 9:37 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the margin of victory in an upcoming professional soccer match between Montreal and New England. Each market corresponds to a specific threshold by which either team must win to settle the outcome. The resolution depends solely on the final score after regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The markets resolve based on the margin of victory in the Montreal versus New England Major League Soccer match scheduled for August 1, 2026. All outcomes are determined after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, with no consideration given to extra time or penalty kicks. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if Montreal wins by more than either 1.5 or 2.5 goals, or if New England wins by more than either 1.5 or 2.5 goals, depending on the specific market. Each market defines a distinct winning margin threshold, allowing for varied betting opportunities on the degree of dominance either team might achieve. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the league, and all associated trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to trader sentiment and market dynamics. While sportsbooks set their lines based on analytics and risk management, prediction markets reflect aggregated trader beliefs, which can shift more rapidly with new information or changing perceptions of team performance.
This market resolves around Aug 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the final score of the game, which will decide whether the spread falls above or below the set line. Once official results are announced, the market will close and payouts will be processed based on the settled outcome.
Injuries to key players, changes in coaching strategy, or significant performance shifts leading up to the game could move this market. Additionally, any public betting trends or analyst predictions released closer to the match may cause traders to adjust their positions, impacting the odds on Kalshi as the event approaches.