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402,751
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Kalshi:
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Closed: Jul 25, 9:42 PM EST
Kalshi
This market resolves Yes if both Montreal and Miami score at least one goal each during the full 90 minutes plus stoppage time of their MLS match on July 25, 2026. Extra time and penalty kicks are excluded from consideration.
If Montreal and Miami both score a goal in the Montreal vs Miami MLS match originally scheduled for Jul 25, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and manage risk, while prediction markets like this one aggregate the beliefs of traders who have real money at stake. Traders in this market are directly rewarded for accuracy, which can lead to sharper pricing on whether both teams will score. Comparing the two can reveal valuable discrepancies, though sportsbook odds remain a useful benchmark for context.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing yes or no outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the aggregate probability that both teams will score, ranging from near zero to near 100. As new information emerges or trader conviction shifts, the bid-ask spread adjusts in real time. You can place limit or market orders to enter or exit your position at any time before the market closes.
This market resolves around Jul 26, 2026, once the Montreal vs Miami event concludes and the final score is verified. The outcome is determined by whether both teams scored at least one goal each during regulation play. Resolution is confirmed against credible public reporting of the official match result. After the event is complete and the outcome is verified, the market will settle and winning positions will be credited.
Several factors can shift trader sentiment and move this market before Jul 26, 2026. Team news such as injuries to key offensive or defensive players, lineup changes, or tactical announcements can significantly impact scoring expectations. Recent form, head-to-head history, and weather conditions on match day all influence the likelihood of both teams scoring. Major betting action or sharp money flowing into one side can also trigger price movement. Monitor pre-match analysis and team updates closely for clues about how the crowd is reassessing the outcome.