TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 15, 9:05 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates how many goals will be scored in an upcoming professional soccer match between Montreal and DC United. The thresholds increase progressively, allowing participants to assess the likelihood of different scoring levels. Outcomes depend solely on the total goals scored within regular time, excluding any extra periods or penalty kicks.
These markets resolve based on the total number of goals scored in the Montreal versus DC United Major League Soccer match scheduled for August 15, 2026, counting only those scored during the 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time added by the referee. Extra time and penalty kicks do not count toward any outcome. Each market has a specific threshold: if the cumulative goals exceed 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 respectively, that particular market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. All markets are independent, meaning each threshold is evaluated separately. Kalshi explicitly states it holds no official affiliation with the league governing body, and all trademarks referenced remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi often differ from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect trader sentiment rather than set odds from bookmakers. In this market, the probability weights assigned to outcomes incorporate community insights, news developments, and team form in real time. Sportsbook odds may lag or smooth volatility to manage risk, while Kalshi prices can shift quickly with new information or betting patterns. Comparing the two can reveal whether traders are more or less bullish on high-scoring outcomes than institutional oddsmakers.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders collectively set the odds by buying and selling contracts that represent possible total goal outcomes. The current implied probability reflects the balance of buy and sell orders, with volume of $137,158 showing liquidity and interest. Prices shift as new information about team form or injuries emerges.
Injuries to key offensive players, weather delays affecting match strategy, or shifting coaching tactics can all sway this market as the game nears. Strong pre-match analysis pieces, fan polls, or early betting surges on Kalshi may also shift probabilities. Any last-minute lineup changes or tactical announcements from either club’s management could cause rapid price adjustments, reflecting updated expectations for scoring potential right up to kickoff on Aug 16, 2026.