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Montevideo Wanderers vs. Club Nacional de Football
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Montevideo Wanderers vs. Club Nacional de Football?

Volume:
$90,165

Tie

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 13, 2026

Closed: Sep 12, 5:33 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
73%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$22,499
N/A
N/A
$14,829
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (Montevideo Wanderers vs. Club Nacional de Football)

View
100%
74%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$321
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Nacional

View
0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$30,467
N/A
N/A
$22,661
Settled
No
polymarket

Club Nacional de Football

View
0%
51%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,936
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Wanderers

View
0%
21%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$24,547
N/A
N/A
$19,723
Settled
No
polymarket

Montevideo Wanderers

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,395
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a soccer match between Montevideo Wanderers and Club Nacional de Football on September 12, 2026. Markets exist for Wanderers winning, Nacional winning, and the game ending in a draw. Resolution depends on the official match result within 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms align on resolving based on the 90-minute result, utilizing a tiered source hierarchy for official data.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers (AUF.org.uy).

Core resolution logic:

  • The market resolves based on the outcome (win, loss, or draw) within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
  • If the game is postponed, markets remain open until completion. If canceled entirely without a reschedule, win markets resolve 'No' and the draw market resolves 'Yes'.
  • A tiered source hierarchy is used: official statistics first, then Flashscore, then Sofascore, and finally a consensus of credible reporting.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Data Availability: If official statistics are unavailable within 2 hours of the event's conclusion, Flashscore data is used. If Flashscore is unavailable, Sofascore is used. If neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting is used. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours, the market resolves 50-50 or to 'Draw' where applicable.
  • Match Cancellation: If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game, win markets resolve 'No' and the draw market resolves 'Yes'.
Timing: Resolution will occur within 24 hours of the match's conclusion, or as soon as official data is available, whichever is later.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Primera División (Uruguay) game, scheduled for Saturday, September 12, 2026 between Montevideo Wanderers and Club Nacional de Football.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the Wanderers vs Nacional professional Uruguay Primera Division soccer match originally scheduled for September 12, 2026. A market resolves to Yes if the associated team wins the game within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. If the match ends in a tie after regulation time, the Tie market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform rules. The event exclusively considers the outcome after standard playing time, with no consideration given to results determined through extra time, penalty shootouts, or other post-regulation proceedings.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the consensus view on the outcome of the Uruguayan soccer match. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $90,165, with $80,464 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows for a comprehensive look at predictions for the event, combining insights from different forecasting communities. The dashboard displays the probabilities implied by the trading activity on each platform, providing a weighted average of expectations for this market. It’s a central place to monitor how opinions shift as new information becomes available.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives and information sources involved. Sportsbooks primarily aim to set lines that balance betting action and incorporate a profit margin, while prediction markets incentivize participants to express their true beliefs about the likelihood of an event. This market’s odds reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities, especially as the event approaches. However, sportsbooks may offer different markets or have access to unique information, creating discrepancies.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and access to information regarding the Uruguayan soccer match. Trading volume also plays a role; lower volume on one platform can lead to greater price volatility and deviations from the consensus. Furthermore, the specific market structures and fee schedules on Polymarket and Kalshi can influence trading behavior and, consequently, the implied probabilities. These differences contribute to a fascinating comparison of forecasting perspectives.