TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 17, 10:45 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Primera División (Uruguay) game between Montevideo Wanderers and Cerro Largo FC, scheduled for August 16, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Montevideo Wanderers" if Montevideo Wanderers score more goals than Cerro Largo FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Montevideo Wanderers and Cerro Largo FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Cerro Largo FC" if Cerro Largo FC score more goals than Montevideo Wanderers in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Primera División (Uruguay) game between Montevideo Wanderers and Cerro Largo FC, scheduled for August 16, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Montevideo Wanderers" if Montevideo Wanderers score more goals than Cerro Largo FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Montevideo Wanderers and Cerro Largo FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Cerro Largo FC" if Cerro Largo FC score more goals than Montevideo Wanderers in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
On Polymarket, the current probability reflects collective trader sentiment rather than traditional sportsbook lines. Sportsbook odds incorporate additional factors such as historical performance and betting volumes from a broader audience. This market shows a different risk assessment because it is driven purely by user predictions and liquidity of $15. Traders may see shifts compared to sportsbooks when new data emerges about team form or player availability.
This market resolves around Aug 15, 2026, with the final result verified against credible public sources once the match concludes. The second-half performance of both teams will decide the outcome, and the platform will update the market status accordingly based on official match reports and confirmed scores from trusted sports news outlets.
Injuries, weather conditions, or tactical changes announced by coaches can shift trader sentiment before Aug 15, 2026. Key moments such as recent match results, player suspensions, or changes in team morale may also influence pricing. Any public updates affecting the perceived likelihood of each team dominating the second half will cause this market to fluctuate on Polymarket as traders react to new information.