TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 31, 7:57 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether over 1.5 goals will be scored in the Montevideo City vs Wanderers soccer match. On Kalshi, the current probability that over 1.5 goals will be scored stands at 99.0%. The resolution source is the official result of the game as played. Watch for the match conclusion on July 31, 2026, which will determine this market's outcome.
All markets resolve based on the total goals scored in the Montevideo City vs Wanderers professional Uruguay Primera Division soccer match scheduled for July 31, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty kicks are excluded. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the aggregate goals surpass specified thresholds (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5). The markets are independent of official league affiliations, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
On Kalshi, this market reflects trader sentiment rather than traditional sportsbook lines. Prediction market odds often diverge from sportsbook odds due to different participant motivations and information sources. Traders on Kalshi may price in nuanced factors or real-time developments that sportsbooks might not immediately adjust for. The volume of $598,347 shows strong trader interest, but keep in mind that prediction market prices can shift rapidly as new data emerges, while sportsbook odds typically change less frequently. Comparing the two provides a unique view of market expectations versus established betting markets.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders manually set prices through buying and selling contracts, which determines the current odds for this market. The platform’s liquidity and active participation influence how swiftly prices adjust to new information, such as player injuries or weather updates. Volume of $598,347 indicates the level of interest and trading activity among participants.
This market resolves around Aug 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the match result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total goals scored by both teams will be the final determinant, and the market will close based on official match records shortly after the game concludes.
Between now and Aug 1, 2026, several key signals could shift this market. Strong performances from top players, key injuries, or changes in team strategies might influence trader expectations. Weather conditions or venue changes could also impact the likely outcome. As the match approaches, updated polls, expert analyses, and recent form data will be closely watched by traders on Kalshi. Any last-minute lineup announcements or tactical shifts could cause rapid price adjustments, especially with a volume of $573,903 over the last 24 hours indicating active trading.