TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 31, 8:01 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of the Montevideo City versus Wanderers professional soccer match in the Uruguay Primera Division. On Kalshi, the current probability that Montevideo City will win after 90 minutes plus stoppage time is 96.0%, with Wanderers at 2.0%. The result will be determined by the match's final score. The decisive moment to watch will be the match ending on July 31, 2026, which will confirm the winner based on the regulation time result.
The event resolves based on the outcome of the Montevideo City vs Wanderers professional Uruguay Primera Division soccer game scheduled for July 31, 2026. If Montevideo City wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, the 'Montevideo City' market resolves to Yes. If Wanderers wins under the same conditions, the 'Wanderers' market resolves to Yes. If the game ends in a tie after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours away from the original date, all markets resolve to a fair price.
Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to the speculative nature of trader-driven pricing. While sportsbooks may incorporate sharp lines and adjustments, prediction markets reflect aggregated trader sentiment and can show sharper shifts based on new information or betting patterns. Monitoring both can provide a broader view of market expectations.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction where traders submit bids and asks to determine the current probability percentages. The top outcome’s implied chance reflects the collective assessment of all participants, adjusting dynamically with new information, trading volume of $1,004,927, and shifts in sentiment.
This market resolves around Aug 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official match outcome, which is then automatically settled by the platform based on publicly available data sources.
Injuries to key players, changes in coaching strategy, or shifting weather conditions could all impact this market. Additionally, early match events such as goals or red cards often cause rapid shifts in trader sentiment, influencing odds. Media narratives and pre-match polls may also affect perceptions and drive volume changes as Aug 1, 2026 approaches.