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406,019
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Closed: Sep 17, 10:35 PM EST
Kalshi
For the CONMEBOL Sudamericana fixture featuring Montevideo City against Cienciano, this event will confirm if both sides score during the regulation period of 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The focus is exclusively on goals scored before any potential extra time or penalty shootout begins, with own goals counted for the team they are awarded to.
If Montevideo City and Cienciano both score a goal in the Montevideo City vs Cienciano CONMEBOL Sudamericana match originally scheduled for Sep 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a small team of experts, while this market is driven by the opinions of many individuals. It’s common to see differences, especially before a significant amount of trading occurs. These discrepancies can arise from varying information sources, risk assessments, or simply differing opinions on the likelihood of both teams scoring in the Montevideo City vs Cienciano match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing a 'Yes' or 'No' outcome to the question of whether both teams will score during regulation time. The price of each contract represents the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price will adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. The current price indicates the market's expectation for the match.
This market resolves around Sep 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether both Montevideo City and Cienciano score at least one goal during regulation time – that is, before any potential overtime or penalty shootouts. The official match result, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will be used to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 18, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Montevideo City or Cienciano would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect the style of play, could also move the market. Furthermore, any updates on team formations or tactical approaches, as well as the performance of both teams in their preceding matches, could all contribute to shifts in trader sentiment and therefore the price of this market.