TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 14, 11:56 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Montevideo City Torque and Liverpool Montevideo, scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Montevideo City Torque" if Montevideo City Torque are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Liverpool Montevideo" if Liverpool Montevideo are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Montevideo City Torque and Liverpool Montevideo, scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Montevideo City Torque" if Montevideo City Torque are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Liverpool Montevideo" if Liverpool Montevideo are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may also incorporate a profit margin. This market, driven by user predictions, may more accurately represent the true probabilities as perceived by informed bettors. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information, biases, or simply variations in opinion. It's valuable to compare both to gain a comprehensive understanding of potential outcomes.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular team scoring first, the price of those shares increases, and the implied probability rises. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand among traders on Polymarket, creating a dynamic and responsive assessment of the event’s potential results.
This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team is officially recorded as scoring the first goal in the Montevideo soccer match. The official match records will serve as the basis for determining the winning outcome. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the result is verified and finalized, based on the official game data.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding team lineups, key player injuries, or changes in coaching strategy could shift the odds. Unexpected weather conditions or even pre-match analysis from soccer experts could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, significant betting activity – a large influx of volume on one outcome – would likely cause a noticeable price movement. Monitoring these signals can provide insight into how the market is reacting to new information and potential shifts in probability.