TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 2:23 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Primera División (Uruguay) game between Montevideo City Torque and Deportivo Maldonado, scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Montevideo City Torque vs. Deportivo Maldonado match originally scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Primera División (Uruguay) game between Montevideo City Torque and Deportivo Maldonado, scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Montevideo City Torque vs. Deportivo Maldonado match originally scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating information and analysis beyond what is readily available to traditional sportsbooks. This can lead to differences in probabilities assigned to various outcomes. Sportsbooks may initially set odds based on team statistics and expert opinions, while this market evolves as traders react to news, injuries, and other factors influencing the game. It’s common to see prediction markets more accurately reflect true probabilities, especially as the event approaches, though discrepancies can and do occur. Comparing the two can offer valuable insights.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each possible exact score. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined entirely by supply and demand; there are no external factors influencing the pricing. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly adapt to new information and reflect the collective intelligence of the traders.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final result of the Montevideo City Torque vs. Deportivo Maldonado match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The exact score at the end of regulation time will determine the winning outcome. Any extra time or penalty shootouts will not be considered. The market will settle based on the official result published by a recognized sports data provider, ensuring a transparent and verifiable resolution process. Traders should monitor official sources for the final score to understand when the market will be settled.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Montevideo City Torque or Deportivo Maldonado would likely cause shifts in the odds. Changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a recent match, could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even tactical changes announced by the managers, could also move the market. Furthermore, any significant public discussion or analysis of the match could sway opinions and affect trading activity, leading to price fluctuations.