TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 18, 12:30 AM EST
Polymarket
More markets for the Copa Sudamericana game, scheduled for September 17 at 8:30 PM ET.
More markets for the Copa Sudamericana game, scheduled for September 17 at 8:30 PM ET.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while Polymarket allows traders to directly assess probabilities. This can lead to discrepancies, with this market sometimes showing different implied probabilities than those offered by conventional sportsbooks. It’s important to note that prediction markets benefit from the wisdom of the crowd, potentially identifying information not fully captured by sportsbook algorithms or public opinion.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, indicating growing confidence. Conversely, increased selling pressure lowers the price. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of its participants.
This market resolves around Sep 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Montevideo City Torque vs. CS Cienciano match as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the result of this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected player suspensions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Additionally, the performance of both teams in their preceding matches, weather conditions expected during the game, and even public opinion expressed through sports news and social media can all contribute to price movements. Unexpected tactical decisions during the match itself could also lead to rapid adjustments in this market.